The world with Trump

[Wiz]

The world with Trump and the vulnerable Greece that risks finding itself in crisis again - P, Roumeliotis

The books written by the former Greek Minister of National Economy, Panagiotis Roumeliotis, on the "New Cold War" and the "Fragmentation of the World" prove to be prophetic.

Mr. Roumeliotis is not a prophet but he is an excellent expert on the economy. He speaks on the militaire channel about what will happen to the world after Trump's election. At all levels. Both geopolitically and economically.

The main axes of Trump's foreign policy, according to Mr. Roumeliotis, will be:

-US primacy -Containment of China - He will try to move on these axes with transactional methods, using the economy and the military advantage of the US.

Trump will likely continue the same policy towards China but with different means, such as tariffs.

Trump will continue and intensify the tariff policy towards both China and Europe.

Trump's expansionist ambitions are a dangerous Trump policy. These are unilateral actions that disregard international law, says Mr. Roumeliotis.

Trump will have a completely different approach to US economic development than Biden. The US withdrawal from the global climate change agreement has something to do with this, since his goal is to provide cheap energy for the reindustrialization of the US.

His main concern will be the production of rare earths by the US.
He will be a brake on globalization as he believes that the American middle class has been impoverished because of it.
For Ukraine, Trump's approach will be different from Biden's. He will force Ukraine to sit at the negotiating table with the threat of cutting off American aid. On the other hand, he will threaten Russia with tariffs. It is not at all certain that Russia will accept such a thing. Ukraine has no choice but to sit at a table to which it will cede territory.

If there is an agreement, who will be its guarantors? Will they be European countries and which ones?

In any case, the agreement will be worse than the one that was ready for signature in 2022 and was blown up by Britain.
This tactic has already been followed in the Middle East. Trump threatened Netanyahu with cutting off American aid and convinced him to agree to a ceasefire. What will he do from now on. How will he deal with the situation if he does not resolve the issue of establishing a Palestinian state? Will Trump change his stance on this issue?

Another critical issue that Trump is called upon to manage is Iran.

PS: Sorry the binteo is in Greek and I cannot translate all conversation.