Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate & The Dollar

[Wiz]

Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate & The Dollar
"Are About To Get "Vaporized"

Andy Schectman lays out a worst case scenario for most dollar denominated assets on my most recent podcast, and, unfortunately, his prognostications don't sound as unreasonable as one might think!

BY Quoth the Raven 17 August 2022

A couple of days ago, I had the chance to interview my good friend Andy Schectman, President & Owner of Miles Franklin Precious Metals, a company that has done more than $5 billion in sales.

Andy is a world-renowned expert in the field of precious metals and took the time to answer some pressing questions I had about about the state of energy markets in the U.S. and the quickly shifting landscape that the global economy sits on, with the BRIC nations banding together and collectively laughing at the West since the sanctions on Russia went into effect several months ago.

In what can only be described as an extremely disturbing interview that left my jaw agape by the end of it, Andy and I have a frank discussion about:

1. The price of oil and the country’s response to higher prices
2. How the Fed is trapped between a rock and a hard place, between inflation and recession right now
3. The BRIC nations banding together economically and challenging the U.S. dollar as global reserve currency
4. Andy’s thoughts on how nearly all traditional assets - including stocks, bonds a real estate and the dollar, may wind up “vaporized”

“Inflation is everywhere and gas is just one of the places,” Andy says. “Inflation is rampant. They’ve been pointing to the prices of certain things, but inflation is always a monetary phenomenon. We have not seek peak inflation, but bringing down the price of gas $0.30 or $0.40 is encouraging, but I don’t think it’s anything substantive at all.”

When I asked about how the Biden administration was dealing with the issue, Andy said: “I think the strategic oil supply is supposed to be strategic, yet why were they selling so much oil from it to China and Pakistan?”

He continued about inflation: “I don’t think the 9.1% is the peak - not even close to it. I think the 9.1% is bullshit as well.”

Speaking about what course of action the Fed is going to wind up taking, Andy makes its clear he’s in the camp that the Central Bank is definitely going to pivot.

“I don’t think that the Fed has any intention of doing what they say, I do believe it’s a sideshow,” Andy says. “Raising [rates] to 2.25% and not doing anything in terms of QT - I think they’re showing us that they’re jawboning, they don’t want to go down in history as blowing up the whole system.”

“They just can’t do it. The minute they start to raise rates high enough, they will blow up the system. The Fed is impotent. They are damned if they do, damned if they don’t,” he continued.

Andy criticized the Fed’s inability to see what they were doing, as they were doing it, stating: “When you take a step back and realize that there has to be someone with enough sense to realize that when you blow asset prices up to all time highs factored against the lowest interest rates in human history, at some point that bar tab has to be paid.”

He summed up: “We’ve milked as much from the system as humanly possible.”

Andy also thinks that global de-dollarization is on its way: “I do think the whole system could blow up with the loss of the dollar’s petro-reserve status.”

“There are certain signposts along the way, that when you see, it becomes clear we are on a path to de-dollarization,” he says. “The dollar hegemony is right about ready to break when you realize that Saudi Arabia is about to join the BRIC nations. Do you think Biden is going to fly there to ask for more oil? He went there to beg them not to join BRIC.”

“The dollar was made reserve currency only because of our protection of the Saudi kingdom,” Andy continues. He then notes that Saudi Arabia has signed new protection agreements with Russia.

“All of the Eastern European countries that have repatriated their gold. They’re all part of the EU but they all trade their own currency. They’re all going to break away from the Western system!”

Godd Bless America!!!

[Lon]

Peter Zeihan says it a little differently.  maybe something will be left in your retirement fund, Weezer, you old Blood Hands clan member you.
8 min vid explaining why American will be fine in the coming world economy crash

something I did not know...the U.S. has one water way that is over 15,000 miles long.  which is longer than the rest of the worldds countries combined 13,000.  is that right?

[AvHdB]

something I did not know...the U.S. has one water way that is over 15,000 miles long.  which is longer than the rest of the worldds countries combined 13,000.  is that right?

Yes, that is correct. I believe Europe combined, and China transport more per tonnage on their waterways. I could be wrong though. If you see the massive size and volume of ships on the Mississippi, it is impressive.

One weakness is the United States is dependent on the sufficient height in the waterways. Not enough waterfall, and nothing moves.

[AvHdB]

something I did not know...the U.S. has one water way that is over 15,000 miles long.  which is longer than the rest of the worldds countries combined 13,000.  is that right?

Yes, that is correct. I believe Europe combined, and China transport more per tonnage on their waterways. I could be wrong though. If you see the massive size and volume of ships on the Mississippi, it is impressive.

One weakness is the United States is dependent on the sufficient height in the waterways. Not enough waterfall, and nothing moves.

Different river authorities are measuring the gross tonnage, or deadweight in different metrics. It makes it difficult to find a definitive answer to which river system has the most volume. My guess is the Mississippi has the largest followed by the Yangtze, and then the Rhine basin. Again the authorities are measuring the volume and weight in different styles, I could not find a Wikipedia site or link that gives any clarity to your question.

[Texan77]

something I did not know...the U.S. has one water way that is over 15,000 miles long.  which is longer than the rest of the worldds countries combined 13,000.  is that right?

We also have a coastal canal system also that run from tip of southern Texas to northern Maine.  On the gulf coast this moves a huge amount of oil related cargo on barges.